Juan Cole, via NPR:
With the guerilla war in Iraq showing no signs of abating, the prospects for successful military disengagement by the United States any time soon are bleak. The political picture is no rosier: the United States will increasingly find itself caught between support of the democratically elected government and resistance to program of implementing strict Islamic law. The United States long ago lost the ability to make policy in Iraq, being reduced to reacting on an ad hoc basis to the initiatives of local forces.
Two years after the U.S. invasion of Iraq, the guerrilla war waxes and wanes but gives no sign of ending soon. Top U.S. military commanders such as Gen. Richard Myers admit that it may go on for a decade.
Surely they saw this coming. My guess is that we’re looking at a scenario that the corporate war profiteers at Halliburton and the chicken hawks in the White House are quite excited about. U.S. tax dollars will be fed to the machine as fast as can be managed and the national debt will continue to skyrocket. The U.S. military bases in Iraq and the region will become increasingly permanent fixtures as the oil shortage becomes more obvious.